The strong sentiment with MLB’s trading deadline just over a month away is that the Pittsburgh Pirates need to make a trade to shore up right field or first base and add some power to the lineup. Othwerise, an unthinkable collapse and a 21st losing season in a row might follow.
But do they need to make a move?
Giancarlo Stanton is the prize of the trade market if the Miami Marlins are willing to let him go. The Pirates certainly have the loot to make a deal happen with young players like Jameson Taillon, Gregory Blanco, and Alen Hanson working their way through the minors.
But trading for Stanton is the kind of move Dave Littlefield would make. For all Stanton’s talent—which is a lot—that deal smacks of failure. Stanton has hamstring issues that are a bit concerning. It’s a small sample size, but then again his whole career is at this point.
Is he worth two or three of the top prospects in the Pittsburgh system? Including Taillon in particular in any deal is a bad idea. The Pirates haven’t had two ace-level talents in their system since before baseball was invented. Breaking up Taillon and Gerrit Cole with the impending retirement or departure of guys like A.J. Burnett and Wandy Rodriguez is a bad idea.
The Pirates need great pitching more than they need great hitting. If the San Francisco Giants have taught us anything in the last few years it is that power doesn’t win championships. Power pitchers and smart defenders do.
Plus, who says this offense is that bad? I know the rankings aren’t pretty and indicate that a lot of luck is flowing up the three rivers lately. Pedro Alvarez is showing signs of figuring things out, however. His numbers are trending steadily upward. Perhaps he’s either a slow starter like Adam Laroche or a late bloomer who is finally learning that you don’t have to hit it out every time you’re at the plate.
Andrew McCutchen will eventually settle into a .290-.320 hitter with 20-30 home run power. He’s already done those things once. He’s showing signs of being able to replicate it again. Once Alvarez improves to the point that teams have to respect McCutchen, it will get awful fun in the middle of the batting order.
Tony Sanchez looks like he could be a legitimate hitting threat too. The best move would be to keep him on the roster for the remainder of the season behind Russell Martin and pack up the Fort McKenry show for good. There’s also upside left in Travis Snider, Jose Tabata, Neil Walker, and Alex Presley. Don’t forget about Jordy Mercer. He’s finally rescued the shortstop position from the dastardly forces of oblivion and Clint Barmes.
Oh yeah, there’s also Starling Marte. For a speedster he’s sure got some power in his bat. If he can be an average hitter that has some power too, he will ignite this lineup.
There are a ton of veteran leadership guys out there who can or could hit and who could provide some short-term help in the lineup. Paul Konerko, Nate Schierholtz, Alexei Ramirez, and others can be had for a lot less than it’ll take to pry Stanton away from the home run sculpture in Miami.
But this team has a ton of veteran leadership in Martin, McCutchen, Burnett, Garrett Jones, Gaby Sanchez, Brandon Inge, and Jason Grilli. They have a bunch of budding leaders in Alvarez, Walker, Jeff Locke and Gerrit Cole too. I don’t buy the whole “acquiring leadership” argument when the clubhouse chemistry is this good.
On the pitching side, there’s no need to acquire help. Burnett and Rodriguez will be back soon. Cole, Locke and Jeanmar Gomez can round out the rotation. Charlie Morton, Brandon Cumpton, and Taillon are in the wings if needed.
The bullpen could use something of the “just-in-case” variety as Grilli and setup guys Mark Melancon and Justin Wilson have thrown a ton of innings already. The Pirates could try to buy low on Carlos Marmol and let Ray Searage turn him into the latest successful reclamation project or find some other spare parts that other teams aren’t going to need down the stretch.
But acquiring some fringe help for the bullpen is just about all the Pirates should be thinking when it comes to being buyers.
The Pirates need to play just better than .400 baseball to finish with a winning record. They’ve played .616 baseball so far. Nothing in any set of numbers indicates a dropoff that significant coming.
With that in mind, now is no time to mortgage the future. Neal Huntington has done well staying the course when the seas got rough over the years. Now it’s time to do so again. Going wild just because he can will only cause leaks to spring where none exist.
For a team trying to end two decades of futility and become a consistent pennant contender, a mistake now could ruin everything.